
Before my time as a Principal of Trek Consulting, I spent seventeen years of my career as a commercial lender, and in that time I went through my share of lending crises. Just as we were learning about inflation-based accounting in the U.S. at Bank of Boston in the early ‘80’s (the birth of FIFO and LIFO valuations?), I was transferred to Buenos Aires, Argentina with the same bank and learned how to make local currency loans in a triple-digit inflation environment and with wild fluctuations in foreign exchange rates.
Today’s lending environment in the U.S. isn’t quite that bad, but it also bears no resemblance to that of a couple years ago. If businesses can find loans from banks these days, the loan rate and fees are higher. The covenants and advance rates are also tighter, a far cry from the “covenant-light” loans that were made in 2005 and 2006.
The capital injections by the Bush and Obama administrations have averted a total meltdown of the U.S. banking system, but have created some “zombie” banks by deferring their inevitable insolvency (liabilities exceeding assets, exacerbated by declining asset values). The injected capital has supported some key internal ratios, but no conditions to lend were attached, so the funds did not create much market liquidity.
So who’s lending? Let’s look at eastern Massachusetts, where I spoke with some bankers off the record this week.
The lenders who are booking new lending relationships are re-financing relationships that exist at other banks. There is little expansion of lines of credit. There is no merger and acquisition activity.
At some of the biggest banks in the area, here’s what we’re seeing. B of A is in the papers every day because of the disastrous acquisition of Merrill Lynch. An explanation of their lending approach in the lower and middle market is that the Bank would lend, but there is concern about the credit quality of the borrowers—so not many loans are being made there. Citizens just announced huge losses for the last quarter of 2008 and for the year as a whole. Sovereign was recently acquired by Banco Santander from Spain, which is now instituting tighter credit standards and overhauling the culture, making its lenders more cautious. And TD Banknorth appears to be the most active in lending at that end of the market, but can be selective when reviewing credits from these other banks.
One tier down, Middlesex Savings Bank and Eastern Bank seem to have avoided the toxic assets found at B of A and Citizens and are lending more aggressively, albeit selectively. Even in this sector, banks are establishing higher floors to loan rates, requesting more security, and tighter covenants.
Even mezzanine lenders, who were shut out when senior debt lenders were making more aggressive loans a few years ago, are getting involved—in response to the request by senior lenders to have more capital. |